Patterns of Multiple Organ Dysfunction and Renal Recovery in Critically Ill Children and Young Adults Receiving Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy.

OBJECTIVES: Acute kidney injury requiring dialysis (AKI-D) commonly occurs in the setting of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS). Continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) is the modality of choice for AKI-D. Mid-term outcomes of pediatric AKI-D supported with CRRT are unknown. We aimed to describe the pattern and impact of organ dysfunction on renal outcomes in critically ill children and young adults with AKI-D. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. SETTING: Two large quarternary care pediatric hospitals. PATIENTS: Patients 26 y old or younger who received CRRT from 2014 to 2020, excluding patients with chronic kidney disease. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Organ dysfunction was assessed using the Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction-2 (PELOD-2) score. MODS was defined as greater than or equal to two organ dysfunctions. The primary outcome was major adverse kidney events at 30 days (MAKE30) (decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate greater than or equal to 25% from baseline, need for renal replacement therapy, and death). Three hundred seventy-three patients, 50% female, with a median age of 84 mo (interquartile range [IQR] 16-172) were analyzed. PELOD-2 increased from 6 (IQR 3-9) to 9 (IQR 7-12) between ICU admission and CRRT initiation. Ninety-seven percent of patients developed MODS at CRRT start and 266 patients (71%) had MAKE30. Acute kidney injury (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 3.55 [IQR 2.13-5.90]), neurologic (aOR 2.07 [IQR 1.15-3.74]), hematologic/oncologic dysfunction (aOR 2.27 [IQR 1.32-3.91]) at CRRT start, and progressive MODS (aOR 1.11 [IQR 1.03-1.19]) were independently associated with MAKE30. CONCLUSIONS: Ninety percent of critically ill children and young adults with AKI-D develop MODS by the start of CRRT. Lack of renal recovery is associated with specific extrarenal organ dysfunction and progressive multiple organ dysfunction. Currently available extrarenal organ support strategies, such as therapeutic plasma exchange lung-protective ventilation, and other modifiable risk factors, should be incorporated into clinical trial design when investigating renal recovery.

Diastolic/systolic blood pressure ratio for predicting febrile children with sepsis and progress to septic shock in the emergency department.

OBJECTIVE: Given the scarcity of studies analyzing the clinical predictors of pediatric septic cases that would progress to septic shock, this study aimed to determine strong predictors for pediatric emergency department (PED) patients with sepsis at risk for septic shock and mortality. METHODS: We conducted chart reviews of patients with ≥ 2 age-adjusted quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (qSOFA) criteria to recognize patients with an infectious disease in two tertiary PEDs between January 1, 2021, and April 30, 2022. The age range of included patients was 1 month to 18 years. The primary outcome was development of septic shock within 48 h of PED attendance. The secondary outcome was sepsis-related 28-day mortality. Initial important variables in the PED and hemodynamics with the highest and lowest values during the first 24 h of admission were also analyzed. RESULTS: Overall, 417 patients were admitted because of sepsis and met the eligibility criteria for the study. Forty-nine cases progressed to septic shock within 48 h after admission and 368 were discharged without progression. General demographics, laboratory data, and hemodynamics were analyzed by multivariate analysis. Only the minimum diastolic blood pressure/systolic blood pressure ratio (D/S ratio) during the first 24 h after admission remained as an independent predictor of progression to septic shock and 28-day mortality. The best cutoff values of the D/S ratio for predicting septic shock and 28-day mortality were 0.52 and 0.47, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The D/S ratio is a practical bedside scoring system in the PED and had good discriminative ability in predicting the progression of septic shock and in-hospital mortality in PED patients. Further validation is essential in other settings.

Automated Calculator for the Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score: Development and External Validation in a Single-Center 7-Year Cohort, 2015-2021.

OBJECTIVES: The pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (pSOFA) score summarizes severity of organ dysfunction and can be used to predict in-hospital mortality. Manual calculation of the pSOFA score is time-consuming and prone to human error. An automated method that is open-source, flexible, and scalable for calculating the pSOFA score directly from electronic health record data is desirable. DESIGN: Single-center, retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Quaternary 40-bed PICU. PATIENTS: All patients admitted to the PICU between 2015 and 2021 with ICU stay of at least 24 hours. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We used 77 records to evaluate the automated score. The automated algorithm had an overall accuracy of 97%. The algorithm calculated the respiratory component of two cases incorrectly. An expert human annotator had an initial accuracy of 75% at the patient level and 95% at the component level. An untrained human annotator with general clinical research experience had an overall accuracy of 16% and component-wise accuracy of 67%. Weighted kappa for agreement between the automated method and the expert annotator's initial score was 0.92 (95% CI, 0.88-0.95), and between the untrained human annotator and the automated score was 0.50 (95% CI, 0.36-0.61). Data from 9146 patients (in-hospital mortality 3.6%) were included to validate externally the discriminability of the automated pSOFA score. The admission-day pSOFA score had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.77-0.82). CONCLUSIONS: The developed automated algorithm calculates pSOFA score with high accuracy and is more accurate than a trained expert rater and nontrained data abstracter. pSOFA's performance for predicting in-hospital mortality was lower in our cohort than it was for the originally derived score.

Dynamic Prediction of Mortality Using Longitudinally Measured Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Scores: A Joint Modeling Approach.

OBJECTIVES: The pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (pSOFA) score was designed to track illness severity and predict mortality in critically ill children. Most commonly, pSOFA at a point in time is used to assess a static patient condition. However, this approach has a significant drawback because it fails to consider any changes in a patients' condition during their PICU stay and, especially, their response to initial critical care treatment. We aimed to evaluate the performance of longitudinal pSOFA scores for predicting mortality. DESIGN: Single-center, retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Quaternary 40-bed PICU. PATIENTS: All patients admitted to the PICU between 2015 and 2021 with at least 24 hours of ICU stay. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We calculated daily pSOFA scores up to 30 days, or until death or discharge from the PICU, if earlier. We used the joint longitudinal and time-to-event data model for the dynamic prediction of 30-day in-hospital mortality. The dataset, which included 9146 patients with a 30-day in-hospital mortality of 2.6%, was divided randomly into training (75%) and validation (25%) subsets, and subjected to 40 repeated stratified cross-validations. We used dynamic area under the curve (AUC) to evaluate the discriminative performance of the model. Compared with the admission-day pSOFA score, AUC for predicting mortality between days 5 and 30 was improved on average by 6.4% (95% CI, 6.3-6.6%) using longitudinal pSOFA scores from the first 3 days and 9.2% (95% CI, 9.0-9.5%) using scores from the first 5 days. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with admission-day pSOFA score, longitudinal pSOFA scores improved the accuracy of mortality prediction in PICU patients at a single center. The pSOFA score has the potential to be used dynamically for the evaluation of patient conditions.

The Association between the rs3747406 Polymorphism in the Glucocorticoid-Induced Leucine Zipper Gene and Sepsis Survivals Depends on the SOFA Score.

The variability in mortality in sepsis could be a consequence of genetic variability. The glucocorticoid system and the intermediate TSC22D3 gene product-glucocorticoid-induced leucine zipper-are clinically relevant in sepsis, which is why this study aimed to clarify whether TSC22D3 gene polymorphisms contribute to the variance in sepsis mortality. Blood samples for DNA extraction were obtained from 455 patients with a sepsis diagnosis according to the Sepsis-III criteria and from 73 control subjects. A SNP TaqMan assay was used to detect single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the TSC22D3 gene. Statistical and graphical analyses were performed using the SPSS Statistics and GraphPad Prism software. C-allele carriers of rs3747406 have a 2.07-fold higher mortality rate when the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score is higher than eight. In a multivariate COX regression model, the SNP rs3747406 with a SOFA score ≥ 8 was found to be an independent risk factor for 30-day survival in sepsis. The HR was calculated to be 2.12, with a p-value of 0.011. The wild-type allele was present in four out of six SNPs in our cohort. The promoter of TSC22D3 was found to be highly conserved. However, we discovered that the C-allele of rs3747406 poses a risk for sepsis mortality for SOFA Scores higher than 6.

Value of modified qSOFA, glucose and lactate in predicting prognosis in children with sepsis in the PICU.

The purpose was to investigate how well age-adjusted modified quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) scores paired with blood glucose and lactate levels predict the outcomes of septicemic children in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). One hundred children who were diagnosed with sepsis and septic shock in the PICU of Henan Children's Hospital were eligible, and other 20 patients in the same hospital at different times were selected as a validation set. Respiratory rate (RR), heart rate (HR), capillary refill time (CRT), and Alert, Voice, Pain, Unresponsive (AVPU) scale were included in the age-adjusted modified qSOFA scoring criteria for scoring. The primary outcome was 28-day all-cause mortality. The predictive values were evaluated by the ROC curve. In the sepsis group, 50 patients were male, and 50 patients were female. The 28-day all-cause mortality rate was 52%. Fifty-one patients with age-adjusted modified qSOFA scores >1. The serum lactate level was 2.4 mmol/L, and the blood glucose level was 9.3 mmol/L. The AUCs for the age-adjusted modified qSOFA score, serum lactate and blood glucose levels for the prediction of 28-day all-cause mortality in children with sepsis were 0.719, 0.719 and 0.737, respectively. The cut-off values were one point, 3.8 mmol/L and 10 mmol/L, respectively. The AUC of the age-adjusted modified qSOFA score for the validation set of was 0.925. When the three indices were combined, the AUC was 0.817, the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed χ2 = 2.428 and p = .965. When children with sepsis are admitted to the ICU, we recommend performing rapid scoring and rapid bedside lactate and glucose testing to determine the early prognosis.

Identifying acute illness phenotypes via deep temporal interpolation and clustering network on physiologic signatures.

Using clustering analysis for early vital signs, unique patient phenotypes with distinct pathophysiological signatures and clinical outcomes may be revealed and support early clinical decision-making. Phenotyping using early vital signs has proven challenging, as vital signs are typically sampled sporadically. We proposed a novel, deep temporal interpolation and clustering network to simultaneously extract latent representations from irregularly sampled vital signs and derive phenotypes. Four distinct clusters were identified. Phenotype A (18%) had the greatest prevalence of comorbid disease with increased prevalence of prolonged respiratory insufficiency, acute kidney injury, sepsis, and long-term (3-year) mortality. Phenotypes B (33%) and C (31%) had a diffuse pattern of mild organ dysfunction. Phenotype B's favorable short-term clinical outcomes were tempered by the second highest rate of long-term mortality. Phenotype C had favorable clinical outcomes. Phenotype D (17%) exhibited early and persistent hypotension, high incidence of early surgery, and substantial biomarker incidence of inflammation. Despite early and severe illness, phenotype D had the second lowest long-term mortality. After comparing the sequential organ failure assessment scores, the clustering results did not simply provide a recapitulation of previous acuity assessments. This tool may impact triage decisions and have significant implications for clinical decision-support under time constraints and uncertainty.

Facial appearance associates with longitudinal multi-organ failure: an ICU cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Facial appearance, whether consciously or subconsciously assessed, may affect clinical assessment and treatment strategies in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). Nevertheless, the association between objective clinical measurement of facial appearance and multi-organ failure is currently unknown. The objective of this study was to examine whether facial appearance at admission is associated with longitudinal evaluation of multi-organ failure. METHODS: This was a sub-study of the Simple Intensive Care Studies-II, a prospective observational cohort study. All adult patients acutely admitted to the ICU between March 26, 2019, and July 10, 2019, were included. Facial appearance was assessed within three hours of ICU admission using predefined pictograms. The SOFA score was serially measured each day for the first seven days after ICU admission. The association between the extent of eye-opening and facial skin colour with longitudinal Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores was investigated using generalized estimation equations. RESULTS: SOFA scores were measured in 228 patients. Facial appearance scored by the extent of eye-opening was associated with a higher SOFA score at admission and follow-up (unadjusted 0.7 points per step (95%CI 0.5 to 0.9)). There was no association between facial skin colour and a worse SOFA score over time. However, patients with half-open or closed eyes along with flushed skin had a lower SOFA score than patients with a pale or normal facial skin colour (P-interaction < 0.1). CONCLUSIONS: The scoring of patients' facial cues, primarily the extent of eye-opening and facial colour, provided valuable insights into the disease state and progression of the disease of critically ill patients. The utilization of advanced monitoring techniques that incorporate facial appearance holds promise for enhancing future intensive care support.

Sepsis death risk factor score based on systemic inflammatory response syndrome, quick sequential organ failure assessment, and comorbidities.

OBJECTIVE: In this study, we aimed to evaluate the death risk factors of patients included in the sepsis protocol bundle, using clinical data from qSOFA, SIRS, and comorbidities, as well as development of a mortality risk score. DESIGN: This retrospective cohort study was conducted between 2016 and 2021. SETTING: Two university hospitals in Brazil. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with sepsis. INTERVENTIONS: Several clinical and laboratory data were collected focused on SIRS, qSOFA, and comorbidities. MAIN VARIABLE OF INTEREST: In-hospital mortality was the primary outcome variable. A mortality risk score was developed after logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 1,808 patients were included with a death rate of 36%. Ten variables remained independent factors related to death in multivariate analysis: temperature ≥38 °C (odds ratio [OR] = 0.65), previous sepsis (OR = 1.42), qSOFA ≥ 2 (OR = 1.43), leukocytes >12,000 or <4,000 cells/mm3 (OR = 1.61), encephalic vascular accident (OR = 1.88), age >60 years (OR = 1.93), cancer (OR = 2.2), length of hospital stay before sepsis >7 days (OR = 2.22,), dialysis (OR = 2.51), and cirrhosis (OR = 3.97). Considering the equation of the binary regression logistic analysis, the score presented an area under curve of 0.668, is not a potential model for death prediction. CONCLUSIONS: Several risk factors are independently associated with mortality, allowing the development of a prediction score based on qSOFA, SIRS, and comorbidities data, however, the performance of this score is low.

Association between a low-risk COVID-19 extracorporeal membrane oxygenation criteria and mortality: A retrospective study.

OBJECTIVE: Our study aimed to compare the outcomes of COVID-19 patients who met a low-risk inclusion criteria for veno-venous extra corporeal membrane oxygenation (VV ECMO) with those who did not meet criteria due to higher risk but were subsequently cannulated. METHODS: This was a retrospective observational cohort study that included adult patients who were placed on VV ECMO for COVID-19 related acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) at a tertiary care academic medical center. The primary outcome was the association between the low-risk criteria and mortality. The patients met the criteria if they met EOLIA severe ARDS criteria, no absolute contraindications (age > 60 years, BMI > 55 kg/m2, mechanical ventilation (MV) duration >7 days, irreversible neurologic damage, chronic lung disease, active malignancy, or advanced multiorgan dysfunction), and had three or less relative contraindications (age > 50 years, BMI > 45 kg/m2, comorbidities, MV duration > 4 days, acute kidney injury, receiving vasopressors, hospital LOS > 14 days, or COVID-19 diagnosis > 4 weeks). RESULTS: Sixty-five patients were included from March 2020 through March 2022. Patients were stratified into low-risk or high-risk categories. The median Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score was 7 and the median PaO2/FiO2 ratio was 44 at the time of ECMO cannulation. The in-hospital mortality was 47.8% in the low-risk group and 69.0% in the high-risk group (p = 0.096). CONCLUSION: There was not a statistically significant difference in survival between low-risk patients and high-risk patients; however, there was a trend toward higher survival in the lower-risk group.

[Meta analysis of the predictive efficacy of various derived indicators of sequential organ failure assessment in outcomes of patients with sepsis].

OBJECTIVE: To systematically review and evaluate the predictive efficacy of various derived indicators of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) in mortality rate of sepsis patients. METHODS: Literature on sepsis and SOFA scores were searched in PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library. The retrieval time will be set to the time of database-building to February, 2023. The main outcome measures included 28-day mortality, 30-day mortality, in-hospital mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) mortality and long-term mortality. Literature screening, data extraction and quality evaluation were carried out independently by 2 researchers. Data were analyzed by Revman 5.3.5, Meta-disc and Stata software. Deek funnel plots were used to assess publication bias in the included studies. RESULTS: A total of 40 articles including 51 trials were included. Of these, 32 were in English and 8 in Chinese, 17 were in prospective trials and 34 were in retrospective trials, 38 were in initial SOFA-related trials and 9 were in the change of SOFA score (ΔSOFA)-related studies, a total of 59 962 patients were enrolled. (1) The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of initial SOFA and ΔSOFA for predicting outcome in sepsis was 0.773 and 0.787 (Z = 0.115, P > 0.05), respectively. There was no significant difference between the two indexes in predicting the outcome of patients with sepsis. (2) In subgroup analysis, due to limitations in the number of literature articles, the 28-day mortality rate and 30-day mortality rate were merged for discussion. The predictive power of ΔSOFA for 28-day or 30-day mortality was significantly higher than that of initial SOFA (AUC was 0.854, 0.787, Z = 2.603, P ≤ 0.01). (3) There were few studies on ΔSOFA in predicting in-hospital mortality, ICU mortality and long-term mortality of sepsis patients. The AUC of the initial SOFA for predicting the study endpoints described above was: ICU mortality (0.814) > 28-day or 30-day mortality (0.787) > in-hospital mortality (0.697) > long-term mortality (0.646). (4) Initial SOFA and ΔSOFA in patients with sepsis of non-Han original had good predictive performance and there was no significant difference between them (AUC was 0.766, 0.811, respectively). However, the pooled sensitivity of ΔSOFA was higher (92%). (5) In prospective studies, initial SOFA was better at predicting outcomes in patients with sepsis (AUC was 0.804, pooled sensitivity 64%). The sensitivity of ΔSOFA indicators in predicting the outcome of sepsis patients was significantly higher than the initial SOFA (78% vs. 64%). The funnel plot showed that there was no significant publication bias in the included literature. CONCLUSIONS: ΔSOFA has a relatively high diagnostic efficacy in predicting short-term (28-day or 30-day) mortality in patients with sepsis.

Intravenous Vitamin C as an Add-on Therapy for the Treatment of Sepsis in an Intensive Care Unit: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Background and Objectives: According to the Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3), sepsis is defined as "life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection". The increased presence of free radicals causes an increase in oxidative stress. Vitamin C is an essential water-soluble vitamin with antioxidant activity and immunoregulatory effects that plays a potential role in the treatment of bacterial infections. Our aim was to evaluate the effectiveness of adding vitamin C to the conventional treatment of sepsis to decrease its mortality rate. Materials and Methods: In a prospective cohort study, we included patients with a diagnosis of sepsis and a SOFA score ≥ 9 who were evaluated in an Intensive Care Unit at a secondary-care hospital. According to the intensive care specialist, they were treated using two different strategies: Group 1-patients with sepsis treated with conventional treatment without vitamin C; Group 2-patients with sepsis with the addition of vitamin C to conventional treatment. Results: We included 34 patients with sepsis. The incidence of mortality was 38%, and 47% of patients used vitamin C as an adjuvant to the basic treatment of sepsis. In the basal analyses, patients treated with use of vitamin C compared to patients treated without vitamin C required less use of glucocorticoids (75% vs. 100%, p = 0.039). At follow-up, patients treated without vitamin C had higher mortality than patients treated with vitamin C as an adjuvant for the treatment of sepsis (55.6% vs. 18.8%, p = 0.03). We observed that the use of vitamin C was a protective factor for mortality in patients with sepsis (RR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.31-0.96, p = 0.03). Conclusions: The use of vitamin C as an adjuvant to treatment decreases the risk of mortality by 46% in patients with sepsis and SOFA ≥ 9 compared to patients treated without vitamin C as an adjuvant to sepsis.

The microcirculation in the first days of ICU admission in critically ill COVID-19 patients is influenced by severity of disease.

The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between sublingual microcirculatory parameters and the severity of the disease in critically ill coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients in the initial period of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission in a phase of the COVID-19 pandemic where patients were being treated with anti-inflammatory medication. In total, 35 critically ill COVID-19 patients were included. Twenty-one critically ill COVID-19 patients with a Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score below or equal to 7 were compared to 14 critically ill COVID-19 patients with a SOFA score exceeding 7. All patients received dexamethasone and tocilizumab at ICU admission. Microcirculatory measurements were performed within the first five days of ICU admission, preferably as soon as possible after admission. An increase in diffusive capacity of the microcirculation (total vessel density, functional capillary density, capillary hematocrit) and increased perfusion of the tissues by red blood cells was found in the critically ill COVID-19 patients with a SOFA score of 7-9 compared to the critically ill COVID-19 patients with a SOFA score ≤ 7. No such effects were found in the convective component of the microcirculation. These effects occurred in the presence of administration of anti-inflammatory medication.

Assessing SOFA score trajectories in sepsis using machine learning: A pragmatic approach to improve the accuracy of mortality prediction.

INTRODUCTION: An increasing amount of longitudinal health data is available on critically ill septic patients in the age of digital medicine, including daily sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score measurements. Thus, the assessment in sepsis focuses increasingly on the evaluation of the individual disease's trajectory. Machine learning (ML) algorithms may provide a promising approach here to improve the evaluation of daily SOFA score dynamics. We tested whether ML algorithms can outperform the conventional ΔSOFA score regarding the accuracy of 30-day mortality prediction. METHODS: We used the multicentric SepsisDataNet.NRW study cohort that prospectively enrolled 252 sepsis patients between 03/2018 and 09/2019 for training ML algorithms, i.e. support vector machine (SVM) with polynomial kernel and artificial neural network (aNN). We used the Amsterdam UMC database covering 1,790 sepsis patients for external and independent validation. RESULTS: Both SVM (AUC 0.84; 95% CI: 0.71-0.96) and aNN (AUC 0.82; 95% CI: 0.69-0.95) assessing the SOFA scores of the first seven days led to a more accurate prognosis of 30-day mortality compared to the ΔSOFA score between day 1 and 7 (AUC 0.73; 95% CI: 0.65-0.80; p = 0.02 and p = 0.05, respectively). These differences were even more prominent the shorter the time interval considered. Using the SOFA scores of day 1 to 3 SVM (AUC 0.82; 95% CI: 0.68 0.95) and aNN (AUC 0.80; 95% CI: 0.660.93) led to a more accurate prognosis of 30-day mortality compared to the ΔSOFA score (AUC 0.66; 95% CI: 0.58-0.74; p < 0.01 and p < 0.01, respectively). Strikingly, all these findings could be confirmed in the independent external validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The ML-based algorithms using daily SOFA scores markedly improved the accuracy of mortality compared to the conventional ΔSOFA score. Therefore, this approach could provide a promising and automated approach to assess the individual disease trajectory in sepsis. These findings reflect the potential of incorporating ML algorithms as robust and generalizable support tools on intensive care units.

Role of SFGSI, microbial culture and qSOFA as predictive factors in determining the survival rate in Fournier Gangrene patient.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the simplified Fournier Gangrene Severe Index Score (SFGSI) and the number of species in culture findings for predicting death in Fournier Gangrene (FG) patients in terms of their predictive power. METHODS: From January 2017 to July 2022, the medical records of individuals undergoing emergency surgery for FG were obtained. A total of 80 patients were examined for clinical data such as age, gender, laboratory parameters, etiology, isolated bacteria, and mortality rate. RESULTS: We identified a statistically significant mean difference between SFGSI (p<0.0001) and quickSOFA (qSOFA) scores (p=0.002) in determining the survival rate of FG patients. The sensitivity and specificity of the SFGSI score in predicting mortality were 90.1% and 88.3% respectively, whereas the sensitivity and specificity of the qSOFA score were 88.2% and 86.2%. E. Coli comprised 56.2% of the bacteria, followed by S. Haemolyticus, S. Aureus, P. Aeruginosa, and K. Pneumoniae. On the basis of bacterial culture results, P. Aeruginosa had the highest fatality rate (100%) followed by S. Aureus (75%), S. Haemolyticus (30%), and E. Coli (20%), in that order. CONCLUSION: The survival rate of FG patients can be predicted using the sensitivity and specificity of the SFGSI and qSOFA scores together. P. Aeruginosa-infected patients have the greatest mortality rate (100%) compared to the other groups.

Persistent high sepsis-induced coagulopathy and sequential organ failure assessment scores can predict the 28-day mortality of patients with sepsis: A prospective study.

BACKGROUND: The performance of the sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores in predicting the prognoses of patients with sepsis has been validated. This study aimed to investigate the time course of SIC and SOFA scores and their association with outcomes in patients with sepsis. METHODS: This prospective study enrolled 209 patients with sepsis admitted to the emergency department. The SIC and SOFA scores of the patients were assessed on days 1, 2, and 4. Patients were categorized into survivor or non-survivor groups based on their 28-day survival. We conducted a generalized estimating equation analysis to evaluate the time course of SIC and SOFA scores and the corresponding differences between the two groups. The predictive value of SIC and SOFA scores at different time points for sepsis prognosis was evaluated. RESULTS: In the non-survivor group, SIC and SOFA scores gradually increased during the first 4 days (P < 0.05). In the survivor group, the SIC and SOFA scores on day 2 were significantly higher than those on day 1 (P < 0.05); however, they decreased on day 4, dropping below the levels observed on day 1 (P < 0.05). The non-survivors showed higher SIC scores on days 2 (P < 0.05) and 4 (P < 0.001) than the survivors, whereas no significant differences were found between the two groups on day 1 (P > 0.05). The performance of SIC scores on day 4 for predicting mortality was more accurate than that on day 2, with areas under the curve of 0.749 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.674-0.823), and 0.601 (95% CI: 0.524-0.679), respectively. The SIC scores demonstrated comparable predictive accuracy for 28-day mortality to the SOFA scores on days 2 and 4. Cox proportional hazards models indicated that SIC on day 4 (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.736; 95% CI: 2.025-6.891) was an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The time course of SIC and SOFA scores differed between surviving and non-surviving patients with sepsis, and persistent high SIC and SOFA scores can predict 28-day mortality.

Prognostic prediction of sepsis patient using transformer with skip connected token for tabular data.

Sepsis is known as a common syndrome in intensive care units (ICU), and severe sepsis and septic shock are among the leading causes of death worldwide. The purpose of this study is to develop a deep learning model that supports clinicians in efficiently managing sepsis patients in the ICU by predicting mortality, ICU length of stay (>14 days), and hospital length of stay (>30 days). The proposed model was developed using 591 retrospective data with 16 tabular data related to a sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score. To analyze tabular data, we designed the modified architecture of the transformer that has achieved extraordinary success in the field of languages and computer vision tasks in recent years. The main idea of the proposed model is to use a skip-connected token, which combines both local (feature-wise token) and global (classification token) information as the output of a transformer encoder. The proposed model was compared with four machine learning models (ElasticNet, Extreme Gradient Boosting [XGBoost]), and Random Forest) and three deep learning models (Multi-Layer Perceptron [MLP], transformer, and Feature-Tokenizer transformer [FT-Transformer]) and achieved the best performance (mortality, area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) 0.8047; ICU length of stay, AUROC 0.8314; hospital length of stay, AUROC 0.7342). We anticipate that the proposed model architecture will provide a promising approach to predict the various clinical endpoints using tabular data such as electronic health and medical records.

Early warning scores for sepsis identification and prediction of in-hospital mortality in adults with sepsis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIM: The early warning scores (EWS), quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria have been proposed as sepsis screening tools. This review aims to summarise and compare the performance of EWS with the qSOFA and SIRS criteria for predicting sepsis diagnosis and in-hospital mortality in patients with sepsis. DESIGN: A systematic review with meta-analysis. REVIEW METHODS: Seven databases were searched from January 1, 2016 until March 10, 2022. Study quality was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 tool. Sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratios and diagnostic odd ratios were pooled by using the bivariate random effects model. Overall performance was summarised by using the hierarchical summary receiver-operating characteristics curve. This paper adhered to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses of Diagnostic Test Accuracy Studies (PRISMA-DTA) guidelines. RESULTS: Ten studies involving 52,474 subjects were included in the review. For predicting sepsis diagnosis, the pooled sensitivity of EWS (65%, 95% CI: 55, 75) was similar to SIRS ≥2 (70%, 95% CI: 49, 85) and higher than qSOFA ≥2 (37%, 95% CI: 20, 59). The pooled specificity of EWS (77%, 95% CI: 64, 86) was higher than SIRS ≥2 (62%, 95% CI: 41, 80) but lower than qSOFA ≥2 (94%, 95% CI: 86, 98). Results were similar for the secondary outcome of in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Although no one scoring system had both high sensitivity and specificity, the EWS had at least equivalent values in most measures of diagnostic accuracy compared with SIRS or qSOFA. IMPLICATIONS FOR THE PROFESSION: Healthcare systems in which EWS is already in place should consider whether there is any clinical benefit in adopting qSOFA or SIRS. NO PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: This systematic review did not directly involve patient or public contribution to the manuscript.